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The Prospect for the Security Situation on the Korean Peninsula during the U.S. Presidential Transit
Kim, Sung-Bae
E_iss131_ksb081024.pdf
Çö¾ÈÁø´Ü 131È£
Á¤Ã¥º¸°í¼­
2008/10/24
I. North Korea's Delist from Terrorist-Sponsoring States: the Submission of the United States?
II. The Dynamic Force of the Development in North-U.S. Relations I: North Korea Does Not Have Enough Time
III. The Dynamic Force of the Development in North-U.S. Relations II: the Policy Climate Favorable to the New U.S. Administration
IV. North, South, and U.S. : Dynamics of a Strategic Triangle Relationship
V. 1994, 2000, and 2009
Although the coexistence of optimism and pessimism about the situation on the Korean Peninsula is constant, optimists and pessimists have recently crossed each other in terms of U.S.-North and inter-Korean relations. Optimists about U.S.-North ties and North Korea¡¯s nuclear weapons program tend to be linked to pessimism about the worst relationship between North and South, while pessimists about U.S.-North relations are inclined to connect with optimists about a recovery of the inter-Korean relationship. The divergent views are due to prevailing wishful or partisan thinking rather than an accurate diagnosis. The contradictory assessments of the recent U.S.-North nuclear declaration verification agreement and North Korea¡¯s delist from the terrorist-supporting states can be understood in such a context.

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